Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003879 0.004242 0.004630 0.005078 0.005583 0.006136 0.006788
2025-11-02 0.003225 0.003722 0.004293 0.005003 0.005868 0.006897 0.008229
2025-11-09 0.002880 0.003445 0.004125 0.005013 0.006159 0.007607 0.009612
2025-11-16 0.002605 0.003202 0.003947 0.004960 0.006326 0.008141 0.010802
2025-11-23 0.002371 0.002980 0.003762 0.004860 0.006398 0.008531 0.011820
2025-11-30 0.002236 0.002868 0.003703 0.004912 0.006669 0.009210 0.013329
2025-12-07 0.002154 0.002818 0.003717 0.005060 0.007081 0.010129 0.015328
2025-12-14 0.002017 0.002679 0.003594 0.004994 0.007164 0.010550 0.016575
2025-12-21 0.001884 0.002537 0.003455 0.004889 0.007169 0.010839 0.017631
2025-12-28 0.001782 0.002430 0.003358 0.004837 0.007249 0.011251 0.018956
2026-01-04 0.001713 0.002366 0.003317 0.004866 0.007460 0.011903 0.020825
2026-01-11 0.001628 0.002273 0.003227 0.004809 0.007517 0.012289 0.022232
2026-01-18 0.001549 0.002189 0.003150 0.004774 0.007624 0.012804 0.024056
2026-01-25 0.001468 0.002097 0.003055 0.004705 0.007666 0.013208 0.025744
2026-02-01 0.001412 0.002039 0.003010 0.004714 0.007850 0.013907 0.028229
2026-02-08 0.001348 0.001966 0.002935 0.004665 0.007917 0.014380 0.030283
2026-02-15 0.001281 0.001883 0.002840 0.004572 0.007892 0.014655 0.031912
2026-02-22 0.001246 0.001851 0.002825 0.004621 0.008145 0.015556 0.035360
2026-03-01 0.001229 0.001846 0.002857 0.004757 0.008587 0.016938 0.040493
2026-03-08 0.001179 0.001785 0.002786 0.004697 0.008618 0.017384 0.043067
2026-03-15 0.001126 0.001716 0.002700 0.004599 0.008561 0.017614 0.045054
2026-03-22 0.001085 0.001664 0.002641 0.004551 0.008604 0.018094 0.047968
2026-03-29 0.001058 0.001636 0.002622 0.004578 0.008816 0.019026 0.052663